[NSRCA-discussion] Matrix improvements
Atwood, Mark
atwoodm at paragon-inc.com
Mon Aug 3 15:35:14 AKDT 2009
Key words "Last year" ... You'll notice several of this years finalists did not fly (masters) last year. And some that did, were no shows.
Seeding needs to take more than last years standings into account which makes it more art than science. I'm sure Tony was seeded even though he hadn't flown masters at the nats before.
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----- Original Message -----
From: nsrca-discussion-bounces at lists.nsrca.org <nsrca-discussion-bounces at lists.nsrca.org>
To: General pattern discussion <nsrca-discussion at lists.nsrca.org>
Sent: Mon Aug 03 19:13:06 2009
Subject: Re: [NSRCA-discussion] Matrix improvements
If seeding was done correctly then you should never have the top 5 pilots from last year on one line (contest) and vice versa (bottom 5).
On Mon, Aug 3, 2009 at 4:00 PM, Tim Taylor <timsautopro at yahoo.com> wrote:
Why must we pick 3 from each line? What happens if you find last years top 5 fliers on one line and the bottom 5 in another line? Someone's going that shouldn't and some are not that should.
Would it be ok to take those that score in the top 20 (Just a number) reguardless of line and there's your finalist. Use the raw scores plus the normalized to get the top 20. This way a matrix doesn't even matter.
Tim
--- On Mon, 8/3/09, Atwood, Mark <atwoodm at paragon-inc.com> wrote:
From: Atwood, Mark <atwoodm at paragon-inc.com>
Subject: Re: [NSRCA-discussion] Matrix improvements
To: "General pattern discussion" <nsrca-discussion at lists.nsrca.org>
Date: Monday, August 3, 2009, 2:06 PM
This is really the ONLY issue at hand. Proper seeding becomes vital to both formats. In the Matrix system, two “weaker” (no bashing, just being honest) groups will normalize very high to one another on the day they fly against each other knocking out some of the pilots from the other groups who are forced to always normalize against one of the stronger pilots (in this years case that was Arch and Frak).
The 4 mini contests does a better job with the math (your at least not trying to force normalization with equal exposure) but in contrast, the idea of taking the top 2 or 3 from each group assumes that one group won’t have 4 of the best pilots. Not the best assumption given the inconsistent attendance that many have at the nats. No way to seed beyond the top 3-4 people that we have experience with.
In both cases…people have to stay true to the “Goal”. Which is really to make sure that the top 3 guys make the finals. We’re trying to pick the National Champion, not the 5,6,7 and 8th place guys. Taking 8 to the finals in EITHER format does a good job of ensuring that the top 3 are in the finals and have a fair, well judged event to choose the champion.
I think any format we choose is likely to err when it comes to the 8,9,10 place individuals. That would be a problem if we were only taking 3 to the finals. The idea of taking 8 purposely mitigates that.
It’s even less of an issue in FAI where 20 fly in a full exposure format to choose the finalists and they still take 8 to choose the top guys.
From: nsrca-discussion-bounces at lists.nsrca.org [mailto:nsrca-discussion-bounces at lists.nsrca.org] On Behalf Of Derek Koopowitz
Sent: Monday, August 03, 2009 1:57 PM
To: General pattern discussion
Subject: Re: [NSRCA-discussion] Matrix improvements
Seeding would be very critical in this just like seeding is critical in the current matrix system as well. I'll give you a good example... had Glen Watson showed up wouldn't that have affected some pilots in his group? With Glen not being there that group became an "easy" group and the normalized scores reflected that relative to the other groups. I'm not trying to diminish anyone's flying efforts here but I think the ED should adjust the flying groups based on attendance if necessary in order to level the playing field for everyone.
On Mon, Aug 3, 2009 at 10:43 AM, Mark Hunt <flyintexan at att.net <http://us.mc623.mail.yahoo.com/mc/compose?to=flyintexan@att.net> > wrote:
I too would like to see an article on this. No offense, but initially it is unclear to me how this would give any better exposure of pilots to the same judges/conditions than the current matrix system allows for. Would seeding not become even more critical in this scenario?
Mark
________________________________
From: Anthony Romano <anthonyr105 at hotmail.com <http://us.mc623.mail.yahoo.com/mc/compose?to=anthonyr105@hotmail.com> >
To: nsrca-discussion at lists.nsrca.org <http://us.mc623.mail.yahoo.com/mc/compose?to=nsrca-discussion@lists.nsrca.org>
Sent: Monday, August 3, 2009 11:56:34 AM
Subject: [NSRCA-discussion] Matrix improvements
Maybe Jerry could detail this in a Kfactor article. Perhaps could be used at locals to help with an oversized Masters group.
Anthony
________________________________
Date: Thu, 30 Jul 2009 15:45:19 -0700
From: derekkoopowitz at gmail.com <http://us.mc623.mail.yahoo.com/mc/compose?to=derekkoopowitz@gmail.com>
To: nsrca-discussion at lists.nsrca.org <http://us.mc623.mail.yahoo.com/mc/compose?to=nsrca-discussion@lists.nsrca.org>
Subject: Re: [NSRCA-discussion] Flash Poll - Relocate the Nats in 2010?
Jerry Budd had a good suggestion in running 4 mini-contests for 6 rounds where each pilot would fly against their group for 6 straight rounds and then the top 3 from each group would fly in the finals. I'm leaning toward this because the current format does not work. We also need to do something about FAI - because there isn't equal exposure there either.
On Thu, Jul 30, 2009 at 2:41 PM, John Fuqua <johnfuqua at embarqmail.com <http://us.mc623.mail.yahoo.com/mc/compose?to=johnfuqua@embarqmail.com> > wrote:
Every Nats I went to that had all events in 2 weeks ended up screwing
Pattern out of time or space. It never failed. I am against it even
thought I liked to go see other events. We cannot do a first rate job when
we compete for runway space and days to fly.
I thought AMA wanted to reduce Nats costs. Moving them around does not do
that if you look at history and read up you will find a consistent comment
about reducing Nats costs. NPAC was fully funded by the pilots and it cost
more than a typical Nats so factor that in.
No one has addressed the equal exposure to judges issues for the current
format yet and Mike's proposal does not correct that situation for Masters.
I had one person suggest to me that if we continue to use the Matrix system
that we take the top 3 pilots from each "Group" to a 3 round finals. At
least then we have equal judging exposure and more or less equal weather
exposure per round.
John
-----Original Message-----
From: nsrca-discussion-bounces at lists.nsrca.org <http://us.mc623.mail.yahoo.com/mc/compose?to=nsrca-discussion-bounces@lists.nsrca.org>
[mailto:nsrca-discussion-bounces at lists.nsrca.org <http://us.mc623.mail.yahoo.com/mc/compose?to=nsrca-discussion-bounces@lists.nsrca.org> ] On Behalf Of Tony
Sent: Thursday, July 30, 2009 2:56 PM
To: 'General pattern discussion'
Subject: Re: [NSRCA-discussion] Flash Poll - Relocate the Nats in 2010?
That is a possibility also. AMA is thinking about returning the NATS to a 2
week all-events NATS like used to be done. If all events are together, HQ
can put all costs into one effort. If they are all split up, Each group
would have more costs to deal with due to the fact that HQ can't send a
group of people to every site.
Tony Stillman, President
Radio South, Inc.
139 Altama Connector, Box 322
Brunswick, GA 31525
1-800-962-7802
www.radiosouthrc.com <http://www.radiosouthrc.com/>
________________________________
From: nsrca-discussion-bounces at lists.nsrca.org <http://us.mc623.mail.yahoo.com/mc/compose?to=nsrca-discussion-bounces@lists.nsrca.org>
[mailto:nsrca-discussion-bounces at lists.nsrca.org <http://us.mc623.mail.yahoo.com/mc/compose?to=nsrca-discussion-bounces@lists.nsrca.org> ] On Behalf Of Tim Taylor
Sent: Thursday, July 30, 2009 3:39 PM
To: General pattern discussion
Subject: Re: [NSRCA-discussion] Flash Poll - Relocate the Nats in 2010?
It was done, It was called NPAC
Tim
--- On Thu, 7/30/09, Bill's Email <wemodels at cox.net <http://us.mc623.mail.yahoo.com/mc/compose?to=wemodels@cox.net> > wrote:
From: Bill's Email <wemodels at cox.net <http://us.mc623.mail.yahoo.com/mc/compose?to=wemodels@cox.net> >
Subject: Re: [NSRCA-discussion] Flash Poll - Relocate the Nats in
2010?
To: "General pattern discussion" <nsrca-discussion at lists.nsrca.org <http://us.mc623.mail.yahoo.com/mc/compose?to=nsrca-discussion@lists.nsrca.org> >
Date: Thursday, July 30, 2009, 2:06 PM
Why not allow the SIGS to do their own thing? IMAC and NSRCA do not
need to share a site. The LSF can find a site for the soaring NATS. Pylon
knows what venues work for them and so on. FF can do their own thing as
well. Why tie soaring and FF together and so on??
Tony wrote:
Matt:
Yes, it is just difficult to tell if it is actually feasible. The
problem is that it requires a large site for Pattern/Pylon/IMAC and will
require another large site for Soaring/Outdoor FF. It may be very difficult
to actually find places that can handle this group.
Tony Stillman, President
Radio South, Inc.
139 Altama Connector, Box 322
Brunswick, GA 31525
1-800-962-7802
www.radiosouthrc.com <http://www.radiosouthrc.com/> <http://www.radiosouthrc.com/>
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