Scoring Vs Judging

[jed241 at msn.com]

You need to blame this e-mail thread on two things. One is the post that said it was quite; and two, you will soon see I have too much time on my hands...<VBG>

Before reading any further, I'm only trying to drum up trouble <VBG> I could be way off base here....I really don't know...

Due to my competitive nature (certainly not my flying ability) I have given thought to the relationship of judging, scoring, and the potential outcome of a certain phenomena called a low average round (aka...a typically low scoring set of judges by nature)...

I could be wrong on this so please correct me if I'm wrong...Here we go...I'm putting on my flame suit as I type...

Theory:
Since the scoring procedure is to normalize each round, a set of judges that scores low by nature will have more influence on the outcome than a set of judges that scores higher by nature.

Data:
I pulled a spreadsheet together and came up with the following numbers (rounded to the nearest .01):

Sportsman - Total KFactor points per round is 19. This translates a perfect round that each raw score is worth 5.26 normalized points per raw point (19*10*5.26). A round with an average of 7.5 KFactor points has a normalized value of 7.0 normalized points per raw point.

If this is true (not claiming it is, cause I don't know) and two pilots are close (separated only by 1 raw point per round). It's possible that the pilot winning the lower averaged round could win even though they share the same exact raw score. This wouldn't be the case if they scoring system normalized the combined raw scores for all rounds to determine the winner. This may be the case but I'm just trying to start trouble...<VBG>

Average for rounds one and two per KFactor point is 8; Rounds three and four is 7. Who should win?

Raw Scores:
Pilot One (R1-152; R2-152; R3-132; R4-132) = total of 568
Pilot Two (R1-151; R2-151; R3-133; R4-133) = total of 568

Should this be a tie?

Nope, cause when you normalize by the round and add individual rounds together you get the following results. (assuming the formula is -->1000 / Highest raw score for the round X pilots raw score for the round)

Normalized:
Pilot One (R1-1000; R2-1000; R3-992.5; R4-992.5) = total of 3985
Pilot Two (R1-993.5; R2-993.5; R3-1000; R4-1000) = total of 3987

Pilot two wins due to the influence of the lower average scoring rounds.

I don't know how the scoring system works to compute the winner, but would be interested to know if it is by the sum of the normalized rounds or by normalized total of the raw scores per round.

If you really want to complicate things, just start thinking about the shift of the outcome on Masters Maneuvers with high KFactors when the difference between two pilots is only separated by 1/2 point on a given maneuver.

Conclusion:
Consistency of scoring from judge to judge is just as important as judging each pilot in a round. Unless again the total raw score is normalized to define the winner.

Now as my favorite comedian always says, "This is only my opinion, I could be wrong". I also admit that I may not know what I'm talking about cause I don't understand the math behind it. Not meant to be sarcastic, cause it could be true.

If you actually got to this point, you are truly as demented as I am...LOL

Larry
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